Nebraska — U.S. Senate
Currently held by a Republican · incumbent running
Democrat
(No Democrat)
0.0%
Republican
Pete Ricketts
100.0%
ForecastSafe R
- Projected margin
- R+21.3
- 80% range
- R+35.1 to R+7.4
- Partisan lean
- R+20.2
- Uncertainty multiplier
- 1.80×
The 80% range comes from 200,000 simulations in which this race’s error is correlated with every other race through the national, state and demographic layers.
How the estimate is built
100.0%
Fundamentals 100.0%
- Polling average
- no polls
- Fundamentals
- R+20.7
- Blended
- R+20.7
- Similar-race shift
- +1.4
Polling
No public polling of this matchup. The forecast rests on fundamentals plus the polling residuals of demographically and politically similar races — which is the normal case: most of the 435 House seats are never polled.
Fundamentals
- Partisan lean
- R+20.2
- Elasticity
- 0.89
- Incumbency
- −4.2
- Candidate experience
- −0.8
- Fundraising
- −4.5
- National environment
- D+5.4
- Expected margin
- R+22.0